There is a major overhaul currently underway in the structure of our housing market, including both the primary market (see here) and secondary market (see here).
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act laid out the vision for future by creating a new paradigm that controlled by rampant abuse of housing practices by all parties involved. Subsequently, white paper “REFORMING AMERICA’S HOUSING FINANCE MARKET” released by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has spelled out in more detail what the reforms would look like.
The white paper is just a proposal and would be debated next year or two before its recommendations would be converted into laws and fully implemented.
Some of the highlights of that white paper are:
1) GSE Reform: Government Sponsored Entities, such as Freddie and Fannie would be wound-down in next 5 to 7 years. They are blamed for conflicting missions (housing goals and profit making) and skewed operating structure (public risk, private rewards).
2) Retained Portfolio of GSEs: GSEs portfolio of whole loans and MBS would be reduced so as to reduce the risk to taxpayers who are on the hook for losses on those assets. Loan limits that are eligible for GSE purchases would also be decreased.
3) GFee of GSEs: In order to shore up GSE balance sheet and prevent losses going to taxpayers, Guarantee Fee (or GFee) needs to be raised. Additional charges and fees may also be necessary. They also need to hold more Capital to back their liabilities, thus requiring additional compensation from originators.
4) FHA Reform: Role of HUD owned Federal Housing Agency (FHA) need to be limited. Currently FHA is taking too big of a role in the housing market putting too much risk on the Government. Its mission for supporting low-to-moderate income borrowers will remain intact and further enhanced.
5) Role of Private Capital: Government wants to bring in more private capital to take on default risk and credit losses associated with mortgage loans. The above measures as well as requirements for additional private credit enhancement, down payments by borrowers, and risk retention by Banks on securitized loans would be implemented.
6) Rental Support: More Government resources to make rental an attractive option vis-à-vis owning a home, especially for low-to-moderate income families.
7) Qualified Residential Mortgage (QRM): These are high quality loans with enough private capital backing that they would be exempt from “risk retention rule”. This rule requires Banks to retain at least 5% of the risk on their books for securitized loans. This is also called skin-in-the-game rule. Faulty practices of originating risky loans and then selling them off without any consequences are cited as a major cause of the housing crisis. This rule tries to prevent similar situation from arising the future.
On top of the above recommendations, the paper also listed 3 major options to choose from to decide what role Government should play and when it should play. These options are
1) Option 1: Government is restricted in its role to only helping low-to-moderate income families. Private Capital is the main driving force in the housing market.
2) Option 2: Government role essentially the same as Option 1 but the role scaled up to help with liquidity and losses in times of housing crises.
3) Option 3: Government role same as Option 1 plus providing back stop to remote risk of loan losses. Private Capital essentially takes most of the losses in most of the situations.
The proposal has just been tabled in the Congress. I still expect long road ahead before these recommendations will become laws and implemented. These are certainly exciting times in the housing market.
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